The Rise and Fall of the Dinosaurs Read online

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  But the toil was worth it. The crew confirmed that there were indeed fossil bones at the site. Then they kept finding more and more of them, hundreds, thousands. It turned out to be a river channel deposit, where currents had dumped the skeletons of many unlucky creatures swept into the water some 212 million years ago. With the right cocktail of good detective work and a drive to make their own discoveries even though they were still students, the Rat Pack had unearthed a treasure trove of Triassic fossils. The site—nicknamed the Hayden Quarry after the sharp-eyed forester who noticed the first fossil eroding out of the ground—has become one of the world’s most important Triassic fossil localities.

  The skull of Coelophysis, the primitive theropod found in abundance at Ghost Ranch.

  Courtesy of Larry Witmer.

  The quarry provides a snapshot of an ancient ecosystem, one of the first deserts that dinosaurs were able to live in. It wasn’t the picture the Chinle Rat Pack was expecting. When the young mavericks started digging in the mid-2000s, the prevailing wisdom was that dinosaurs conquered the deserts soon after they arrived in the Late Triassic. Other scientists had collected a wealth of fossils from similar-age rock units in New Mexico, Arizona, and Texas, which seemed to belong to more than a dozen species of dinosaurs, ranging from stocky apex predators and smaller meat-eaters to many different types of plant-munching ornithischians, the ancestors of Triceratops and the duckbills. It seemed that dinosaurs were everywhere. But that wasn’t the case in the Hayden Quarry. There were monster amphibians closely related to our Portuguese Metoposaurus, primitive crocodiles and some of their long-snouted and armored relatives, skinny reptiles with short legs called Vancleavea, which looked like scaly dachshunds, and even funny little reptiles that hung from the trees like chameleons, called drepanosaurs. Those are the common animals in the quarry. Dinosaurs were anything but. The Rat Pack found only three types of dinosaurs: a fleet-footed predator very similar to Baldwin’s Coelophysis, another swift carnivore called Tawa, and a somewhat larger and stockier meat-eater called Chindesaurus, which was closely related to the Argentine Herrerasaurus. Each is represented by only a few fossils.

  It was a great surprise to the team. Dinosaurs were rare in the tropical deserts of the Late Triassic, and it was only the meat-eaters that seemed to be hanging about. There were no plant-eating dinosaurs, none of the ancestral long-necked species that were so common in the humid zones, none of the ornithischian forebears of Triceratops. It’s a meager bunch of dinosaurs surrounded by all sorts of bigger, meaner, more common, more diverse animals.

  What, then, to make of the dozens of Triassic dinosaur species that other scientists had identified from all over the American Southwest? Irmis, Nesbitt, Smith, and Turner scrutinized all of the evidence they could find, traveling to every small-town museum where researchers had deposited their fossils. They saw that most of these specimens were isolated teeth and scraps of bone, not the best foundation for naming new species. But that wasn’t the shocker. The more they found at Hayden Quarry, the better search image the crew developed in their heads. They became able to tell a dinosaur from a crocodile from an amphibian almost by instinct. In a series of eureka moments, they realized that most of those supposed dinosaur fossils collected by others weren’t dinosaurs at all, but primitive dinosauromorph cousins of dinosaurs or, in some cases, early crocodiles and their kin that just so happened to look like dinosaurs.

  So not only were dinosaurs rare in the Late Triassic deserts, but they were still living alongside their archaic relatives, the same types of animals that were leaving their tiny footprints in Poland nearly 40 million years earlier. It was a jarring realization. Up until then, almost everyone thought that the primitive dinosauromorphs were an uninteresting ancestral stock whose only destiny was to give birth to the mighty dinosaurs. Once that job was done, they could quietly fade away to extinction. But here they were, all over Late Triassic North America, even a new poodle-size species called Dromomeron in the Hayden Quarry, living alongside proper dinosaurs for some 20 million years.

  Probably the only person not surprised by the findings was another student, an Argentine named Martín Ezcurra. Independently of the four American grad students, Martín was starting to doubt the identifications of some of the supposed North American “dinosaurs” collected by the older generation of paleontologists, but he didn’t have the resources to go study them, because he was from South America and still learning English.

  That, and he was a teenager.

  One thing he did have, however, was access to the tremendous collections of Ischigualasto dinosaurs from his home country, thanks to the generosity of Ricardo Martínez and other curators who responded positively to the unusual request of a high schooler wanting to visit their museums. Martín gathered photos of many of the mysterious North American specimens and carefully compared them to the Argentine dinosaurs, and recognized that there were key differences. One North American species in particular, a skinny carnivore called Eucoelophysis, which was supposed to be a theropod, was actually a primitive dinosauromorph. He published this result in a scientific journal in 2006, the year before Irmis, Nesbitt, Smith, and Turner published their first findings. Martín was seventeen years old when he wrote his paper.

  It’s hard to fathom why dinosaurs were doing so poorly in the deserts while so many other animals, including their dinosauromorph precursors, were having a better go at it. To get to the bottom of the question, Chinle’s Rat Pack collaborated with the skilled geologist Jessica Whiteside, who was also part of our excavation teams in Portugal. Jessica is a maestro at reading the rocks. Better than anyone I’ve ever known, she can look at a sequence of rocks and tell you how old they are, what the environments were like when they formed, how hot it was, even how much rain there was. Set her loose at a fossil site, and she’ll come back with a story from the distant past of changing climates, shifting weather, evolutionary explosions, and great extinctions.

  Jessica put her sixth sense to use at Ghost Ranch and determined that the animals of the Hayden Quarry did not have an easy life. They lived in an environment that wasn’t always a desert, but one in which seasonal climates dramatically fluctuated. It was bone-dry for much of the year, but wetter and cooler during other times—hyperseasonality, as Jessica and the Rat Pack call it. The culprit was carbon dioxide. Jessica’s measurements show that there were somewhere around 2,500 molecules of carbon dioxide per every million molecules of air in the tropical regions of Pangea back when the Hayden Quarry animals were alive. That’s more than six times the amount of carbon dioxide today. Let that sink in for a minute—just think about how quickly temperatures are rising now and how anxious we are about future climate change, even though there is much less carbon dioxide in today’s atmosphere. The high concentration of carbon dioxide in the Late Triassic started a chain reaction: huge fluctuations in temperature and precipitation, raging wildfires during parts of the year but humid spells in others. Stable plant communities had a difficult time establishing themselves.

  It was a chaotic, unpredictable, unstable part of Pangea. Some animals could deal with that better than others. Dinosaurs seem to have been able to cope a little bit, but not able to truly thrive. The smaller meat-eating theropods were able to manage, but the larger, fast-growing plant-eaters, which required a steadier diet, could not. Even some 20 million years after they had originated, even after they had taken over the large-herbivore niche in humid ecosystems and started to colonize the hotter tropics, dinosaurs were still having trouble with the weather.

  IF YOU WERE standing on safe ground during a Late Triassic flood, watching the animals eventually buried at Hayden Quarry get swept up by the seasonal river that drowned them, you might have had a hard time telling some of the corpses apart as they floated by. Sure, it would be easy to recognize one of the giant supersalamanders or some of those weird chameleon-mimic reptiles. But you might not be able to distinguish dinosaurs like Coelophysis and Chindesaurus from some of the crocodiles and their
kin. Even if you were able to watch these animals alive, going about their business of eating and moving and interacting with each other, you still might have trouble.

  Why the confusion? It’s the same reason that the previous generation of paleontologists working in the American Southwest so often misidentified crocodile fossils as dinosaurs, and why other scientists in Europe and South America made the same mistakes. During the Late Triassic, there were many other animals that really, really looked and behaved like dinosaurs. In evolutionary biology speak, this is called convergence: different types of creatures resembling each other because of similarities in lifestyle and environment. It’s why birds and bats, which both fly, each have wings. It’s why snakes and worms, which both squirm through underground burrows, are both long, skinny, and legless.

  The convergence between dinosaurs and crocodiles is surprising, shocking even. The alligators that prowl the Mississippi delta and the crocodiles that lurk in the Nile may appear vaguely prehistoric, but they don’t look anything like a T. rex or a Brontosaurus. During the Late Triassic, however, crocodiles were very different.

  Recall that dinosaurs and crocodiles are both archosaurs—members of that large group of upright-walking reptiles that started to blossom after the end-Permian mass extinction, which proliferated because they could move much faster and more efficiently than the sprawling animals of the time. Early in the Triassic, archosaurs split into two major clans: the avemetatarsalians, which led to dinosauromorphs and dinosaurs, and the pseudosuchians, which gave rise to crocodiles. During the dizzying splurge of postextinction evolution, the pseudosuchian tribe also produced a number of other subgroups that diversified in the Triassic but then went extinct. Because they don’t survive today—unlike the crocodiles and dinosaurs (in the guise of birds) —these groups have largely been forgotten about, considered oddities from a distant past, evolutionary dead ends that never rose to the top. That stereotype is wrong, though, because for much of the Triassic these crocodile-line archosaurs were thriving.

  Most of the major types of Late Triassic pseudosuchians can be found at Hayden Quarry. There is a phytosaur called Machaeroprosopus, a member of that group of long-snouted, semiaquatic ambush predators whose bones we also found in Portugal. They were bigger than a motorboat and snatched fish—and the occasional passing dinosaur—with the hundreds of spiky teeth in their stretched jaws. It was neighbors with Typothorax, a plant-eater built like a tank with armor covering its body and spikes sticking out from its neck. It belongs to a group called the aetosaurs, a hugely successful family of mid-tier herbivores that closely resembled the armored ankylosaur dinosaurs that evolved millions of years later. They were good diggers and may have even cared for their young by building and guarding nests. Then there are proper crocodiles, but nothing like the ones we’re familiar with today. These primitive Triassic species—the ancestral breed that modern crocs evolved from—looked like greyhounds: they were about the same size, stood on four legs, had the emaciated build of a supermodel, and could sprint like champions. They fed on bugs and lizards and were most certainly not top predators. That title went to the rauisuchians, a ferocious bunch that grew up to twenty-five feet long, bigger than the largest saltwater crocodiles today. We met one of them previously, Saurosuchus, the top gun in the Ischigualasto ecosystem that would have haunted the nightmares of the very first dinosaurs. Imagine a slightly smaller version of a T. rex walking around on four legs, with a muscular skull and neck, railroad-spike teeth, and a bone-breaking bite.

  There’s also another type of crocodile-line archosaur found at Ghost Ranch—not in the Hayden Quarry itself, but in the nearby Coelophysis graveyard. It was found in 1947, not long after Whitaker discovered the bone bed, during those first few weeks of excavation. The American Museum team was digging up so many Coelophysis skeletons that, after a while, the excitement wore off and they got a little bored. Everything they saw started to look like Coelophysis. So they didn’t notice that one of the skeletons they collected was similar in size to Coelophysis, and had the same long legs and light build, but was a little different in other ways—notably, it had a beak instead of an arsenal of sharp teeth. The technicians back in New York didn’t notice either. They started to remove the specimen from the block of rock it was embedded in, but were all too keen to stop once they determined it was just another Coelophysis. It could go in the storehouse with the rest of them.

  The fossil stayed in the bowels of the museum, unconserved and unloved, until 2004. That’s when one of the Ghost Ranch quartet, Sterling Nesbitt, started his PhD at Columbia University in New York. Because he was planning a project on Triassic dinosaurs, he went back through all of the fossils collected by Colbert, Whitaker, and their teams in the 1940s. Many were still encased in plaster, so they would have to remain on the shelves. But that one block from 1947 had been opened and partially prepared by the conservators, so Sterling could study it. With an excited pair of eyes and an enthusiasm that escaped the weary field hands a half century earlier, Sterling recognized that he wasn’t looking at any old Coelophysis. He saw that it had a beak; he realized that its body proportions were different, that its arms were tiny. And then he noticed features of the ankle that were nearly identical to those of crocodiles. He wasn’t looking at a dinosaur at all; he was looking at a pseudosuchian that was heavily convergent on dinosaurs.

  The fierce predator Batrachotomus, one of the crocodile-line archosaurs (rauisuchians) that preyed on early dinosaurs.

  Photo courtesy of the author

  This was the sort of discovery that young scientists dream about when secluded, alone with their thoughts, trawling through the drawers of museum collections. Since Sterling discovered it, he got to name it, and he chose the evocative moniker Effigia okeeffeae: the first name being the Latin word for ghost, in reference to Ghost Ranch, and the second paying homage to the ranch’s most famous resident. Effigia made international headlines: the media loved this awkward-looking, toothless, stub-armed ancient crocodilian creature trying to pretend that it was a dinosaur. Stephen Colbert even devoted a segment of his show to the new discovery, complaining in jest that it should have been named after Edwin Colbert (who coincidentally shared a surname with the comedian) and not the feminist artist. I remember seeing that segment during the last year of my undergraduate studies, right around the time I was starting to plot out my own graduate-school future, and being in awe that a young grad student’s work could make such an impact.

  It also motivated me. Up until that point, I had been studying only dinosaurs, but I started to grasp that Effigia and the other dino-imitating pseudosuchians were critical in understanding how dinosaurs ascended to power. I started to read many of the classic studies in dinosaur paleontology, works by giants like Robert Bakker and Alan Charig, which were effusive in arguing that dinosaurs were special. They were so well endowed with superior speed, agility, metabolism, and intelligence that they outcompeted all of the other Triassic animals—the giant salamanders, the early mammal-like synapsids, and the crocodile-line pseudosuchians. Dinosaurs were the chosen ones. It was their manifest destiny to take on the weaker species, best them, and establish a global empire. There was almost a religious feel to some of these writings, perhaps not a surprise, given that Bakker also dabbles as an ecumenical Christian preacher and is renowned for his high-energy lectures, delivered in the style of an evangelist testifying to his congregation.

  Dinosaurs outmaneuvering their foes on the Late Triassic battlefield. It was a good story, but it didn’t sit well with me. New discoveries seemed to be upending the narrative, and a lot of that had to do with the pseudosuchians. So many of these crocodile-line archosaurs were dead ringers for dinosaurs. Or maybe it was the other way around: maybe Triassic dinosaurs were trying to be pseudosuchians. Regardless, if the two groups were similar in so many ways, then how could you argue that dinosaurs were a superior race? And it wasn’t only the convergence between dinosaurs and pseudosuchians that threw up a red flag. There were
more pseudosuchians than dinosaurs in the Late Triassic: more species and a greater abundance of these species in individual ecosystems. The menagerie of croc cousins from Ghost Ranch—phytosaurs, aetosaurs, rauisuchians, Effigia-like animals, true crocodiles—was not a local phenomenon. These were diverse groups that prospered throughout much of the world.

  But, as scientists often like to say when trying to critique each other with subtlety, this all sounded a little arm-wavy. Could we somehow compare explicitly how dinosaurs and pseudosuchians were evolving in the Late Triassic? Was there a way to test whether one group was more successful than the other and whether that was changing over time? I buried myself in literature on statistics, unfamiliar territory for somebody who was consumed by dinosaurs but not yet very aware of other fields and techniques. I was a bit embarrassed to realize that invertebrate paleontologists—our redheaded stepsiblings, who study fossils like clams and corals, which don’t have bones—had come up with a method two decades earlier, one that had been ignored by dinosaur workers. It was something called morphological disparity.

  Morphological disparity sounds like a fancy term, but it is simply a measure of diversity. You can measure diversity in many ways. Counting up the number of species is one tack: you can say that South America is more diverse than Europe because there are more animal species there. Or you can compute diversity based on abundance: insects are more diverse than mammals because there are more insects in any given ecosystem. What morphological disparity does is measure diversity based on features of the anatomy. Thinking this way, you can consider birds to be more diverse than jellyfish, because birds have a much more complex body with lots of different parts, whereas jellyfish are just sacs of goo. This type of diversity measure can give great insight into evolution, because so many aspects of animal biology, behavior, diet, growth, and metabolism are controlled by anatomy. If you really want to know how a group is changing over time or how two groups compare in diversity, I would argue that morphological disparity is the most powerful way to do so.